Stat Lab
Deep-dive into advanced NFL analytics powered by play-by-play data, Next Gen Stats, and my proprietary prediction model. Explore team efficiency metrics, quarterback situational breakdowns, positional leaders, and offensive/defensive line performance across multiple seasons.
What is ELO?
ELO is a power rating system originally designed for chess. Teams gain ELO by winning and lose it by losing, but the amount depends on the opponent's strength and margin of victory. Beat a strong team by a lot? Big ELO boost. Lose to a weak team? Big drop.
How to read it: 1500 is league average. Elite teams (1600+) are legitimate contenders. Teams below 1400 are in rebuilding territory. ELO carries over between seasons with regression toward the mean.
📊 ELO Power Rankings
Offensive vs Defensive Efficiency
Top-right quadrant = Elite teams (good offense, good defense) • Bottom-left = Rebuilding
Pass vs Rush Offense
Third Down Conversion Rate
Red Zone Efficiency
Touchdown rate inside the 20-yard line (offense vs defense)
What is "Model QB Value"?
This proprietary metric combines traditional stats (completions, yards, TDs) with advanced efficiency metrics (EPA, success rate, situational performance) and contextual factors (opponent strength, weather, rest days) to generate a comprehensive quarterback quality score. It's the same QB valuation my prediction model uses to forecast game outcomes.
How it's calculated: I aggregate play-by-play data across rolling windows, weight recent performance more heavily, adjust for strength of schedule, and normalize to a 0-1 scale where 0.7+ indicates elite performance and below 0.3 indicates replacement-level play.
Rushing Efficiency
Receiving Production
Total Yards Leaders
Target Efficiency
Catch Rate vs Volume
Receiving Yards Leaders
Pass Blocking Performance
Lower sack rate = Better pass protection
Run Blocking Performance
Yards per carry generated by offensive line
Pass Rush Performance
Higher sack rate = Better pass rush
Run Defense Performance
Lower yards per carry allowed = Better run defense